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Re: BEAUTIFUL diary! (none / 0)

I know that delegates are delegates, but to base your path to the White House on the least educated and most racist part of the country is a little humiliating.  Not all of Appalachia is uneducated or racist, but enough are that I would not start bragging about winning big there.  Typically, Republicans win there.  Enough said.

I tend to agree that proclaiming victory on Tuesday is a little premature, but just a little.

Right now, Obama has about 1900 delegates and he needs 2025 to claim victory.  On Tuesday, 103 delegates will be up for grabs and I expect Obama to get about 45 to 50--maybe a little less.

However, with 11 additional delegates, he will win a majority of the delegates who are selected by primary or caucus.  This means that the Pelosi Club will come into the Obama Camp.  Currently there are 11 unpledged delegates in the Pelosi Club.

I imagine there will be a few more SD sign on at the time.  So on Tuesday night, he should have about 1960 delegates with 65 to go for the win.

So proclaiming victory when you are close but not there is unwise.  We are not talking "Mission Accomplished" unwise, but still, I just don't like it.


by smoker1 on Sat May 17, 2008 at 07:18:42 PM EST
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